The financial blogosphere has become a tremendous resource for anyone who has an interest in investing. The information available is close to infinite, and much of it is free. Being a beneficiary of this resource, I have long felt that the major improvement to be made would be an index of sorts, in which the best posts were categorized by topic. Unfortunately, that is a herculean task, so I am going to attempt what i consider to be the next best thing: a decent-sized selection of the posts from 2016 that I have found to be the most useful in both my practice as a financial advisor, and in my avocation as an investor.
I should note that this is, at best, a work in progress, so I will try to update it periodically, either as older posts resurface, or as new, more relevant ones are published. If you, the reader, has any suggestions for what I should include, please feel free to email me the links.
As noted in my most recent post, stock buybacks have been controversial, and are, unfortunately, the victims of much misinformation on the part of the financial media, as well as tremendous misunderstanding on the part of the investing public. Here are three great links that explain stock buybacks in terms of why corporations do them, and also their practical implications for investors:
Stock Buybacks Demystified by Jake via EconomPic Data
Are Buybacks Affecting Stock Valuations? by Danny Jassy, CFA via SPYderCrusher Market Research
Here’s a great 2015 post by Urban Carmel on the myths surrounding buybacks (via The Fat Pitch):
http://fat-pitch.blogspot.com/2015/11/the-truths-and-myths-of-buybacks.html
Stock Buybacks: A Global Perspective by myself
Cash Cows of the Dow by Meb Faber
Diversification is always something that advisors preach, and all too often investors confuse owning a bunch of different things with true diversification. Here several great posts on what true portfolio diversification is, and how investors need to be disciplined to reap the benefits of diversification:
Six Types of Diversification to Include in Your Portfolio by Isaac Presley, CFA, via Cordant Wealth
Diversification Is No Fun by Ben Carlson, CFA, via A Wealth of Common Sense
Demographics and the Stock Market
Will Aging Baby Boomers Destroy the Stock Market? by me
Why Should Changes in Population Structure Affect Valuations? By Matthew Klein, via FT Alphaville
Yes, Demographics and Economic Growth Do Matter for Equity Returns, by Jake via EconomPic Data
With the stock market currently at all-time nominal highs, and valuations something less than cheap, many people might wonder whether now is a good time to invest. Here are a couple posts that address this very question:
What If You Bought Only At Below-Average P/E Ratios? by Ben Carlson, CFA, via A Wealth of Common Sense
What If You Invested Only at Market Peaks? by Ben Carlson, CFA, via A Wealth of Common Sense
How the Market Behaves at All-Time Highs by Eddy Elfenbein, via Crossing Wall Street
The shrinking number of publicy-traded companies first came to my attention in the spring of 2013 when USA Today published an article about the decline in public companies since the late 1990s. Since then, it has become a widely-discussed issue, and there have been many articles on the topic the last few years. Here are a couple posts, includng one from me, on both the nature and the extent of the decline:
Your Industry Guide to the Shrinking Stock Market by me
The Bad Side of a Good Idea by Morgan Housel, via The Collaborative Fund
Think Globally To Avoid Shrinking U.S. Stock Market by Ben Carlson, CFA, via A Wealth of Common Sense
Clearing Up Some Misconceptions About How the Stock Market Works by Matthew Klein via FT Alphaville
One popular ‘myth,’ if you will, about investing, is that the risk an investor takes is directly linked to the gains he stands to receive. By a variety of different metrics, this is demonstrably false, and here are a few great posts on the nature of investment risk and reward:
Risk vs Return — The Dirty Secret by David Merkel, CFA, via The Aleph Blog
and here’s a post co-written by myself and Daniel Sotiroff on historical performance vs volatility by sector:
Mastery or Ignorance Part III via The Personal Finance Engineer
For a related discussion on risk and reward, see also this post of mine, Most of What You Probably Think About Investing Is Wrong.
Poor behavior is the main reason many investors either underperform the major benchmarks, or fail at investing altogether. Here a few great reads on that topic:
Saving Investors from Themselves by Jason Zweig, via The Wall Street Journal
Just Leave it Alone by Morgan Housel, via The Motley Fool
A Call for Kintsugi Portfolios by Bob Seawright, via Above the Market
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Here are a few other topics and posts:
On Social Security strategies:
Social Security Optimization by Isaac Presley, CFA via Cordant Wealth
Index Valuation:
The Case for Harmonic P/E Calculations by Jake via EconomPic Data
Taxes and Investments:
The Impact of Taxes on Investor Returns by ‘Jesse Livermore,’ via Philosophical Economics
Why Active ETFs are More Tax-efficient Than Active Mutual Funds by Wes Gray, Ph. D., via Alpha Architect
Mean Reversion:
Capturing Mean Reversion via Momentum by Jake via EconomPic Data
The Limits of Mean Reversion by myself
The Meanest Reversion: BABIP and CAPE by Brendan Mullooly via Mullooly Asset Management
Optimal Portfolio Construction
Alpha or Assets by Patrick O’Shaughnessy, CFA, via The Investor’s Field Guide
Excessive Diversification is Pointless & Damages Returns by Sean Stannard-Stockton, CFA, via Intrinsic Investing
On the ‘abundance’ of cheap or free things in our economy
Abundance by Josh Brown, via The Reformed Broker
And Gavin Jackson’s response, also titled Abundance, via Medium
Active vs. Passive
Active vs. Passive Investing and the “Suckers at the Poker Table Fallacy” by Druce Vertes, CFA, via CFA Institute
and Jesse Livermore’s series on indexing, via Philosophical Economics
Index Investing Makes Markets and Economies More Efficient
Volatility
Sell Vol, Don’t Buy Vol by Meb Faber
When Volatility is Risk by Isaac Presley, CFA via Cordant Wealth
Equity Investors as Lenders
Asset Markets as Banks via Philosophical Economics
Credit Analysis and Relative Equity Valuations by myself
Personal Growth
Growth Without Goals by Patrick O’Shaughnessy, CFA, via The Investor’s Field Guide
And my follow-up post to Patrick’s, The Price of Prestige
Efficient Market Hypothesis
Losing My Religion by Sam Lee, via Morningstar
Equities Aren’t Always the Place to Be
When to be Scared of the Stock Market by Sam Lee, v ia Severian Asset Management
Stocks for the Long Run? – myself
Investment Strategies
Waiting For A Crash Is A Terrible Investment Strategy by Sam Lee via Severian
How Do You Know If Your Investment Plan Has Stopped Working by Isaac Presley, CFA via Cordant Wealth
ReSolve Asset Management on Evidence-Based Investing Part 1 and Part 2
The Lie of Averages by Corey Hoffstein via Think New Found
Saving vs Investing by Nick Maggiulli via Of Dollars and Data
Historical Bull / Bear Markets
Anatomy of a Bull Market – Think New Found
Identifying Good Companies
Howard Marks: 7 Principles for Identifying Investment Opportunities by Johnny Hopkins va The Acquirer’s Multiple
The Value of Lasting Moats by myself
How Moats Make A Difference by Sean Stannard-Stockton, CFA via Intrinsic Investing
Buying Companies With Economics Moats an interview of Pat Dorsey by Patrick O’Shaughnessy, CFA va Investor Field Guide
Comparing Domestic vs International Equity Valuations
A Case Against Overweighting International Equities by Corey Hoffstein via Think New Found
The Correct Way to Frame Relative Valuations by myself
Individual Stock Performance vs Market Performance
Diversification, Adaptation, and Stock Market Valuation by Philosophical Economics
Reconciling Individual Stock Returns and Factor Portfolio Returns by Jack Vogel, Ph.D. via Alpha Architect
Learning the Wrong Lessons by myself
The Magic of Compounding
The Constant Reminder by Nick Maggiulli via Of Dollars and Data
Faith in Compounding Is Not Enough by myself
Factors
Factor Zoo or Unicorn Ranch? by Gary Antonacci via Dual Momentum
Social Media As An Investment Resource
There’s An @ For That by Phil Huber, CFA via BPS & Pieces
Why You’ll Find Me On Twitter by Justin Castellia via All About Your Benjamins
Fixed-Income Investing
Indexing bonds is inferior to active by Phil Huber, CFA via BPS & Pieces
Alpha Architect has tackled just about every topic, so rather than list all their posts, just refer to their indexed archives found here:
https://alphaarchitect.com/research-category-list/
Similarly, Cliff Asness at AQR has a great searchable archive his firm’s research here: